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Does the September poll leader usually win the presidential election?

Team PellucidTeam Pellucid

It's just over 40 days until the presidential election. Awareness of the two candidates is reaching its peak (as is media saturation) and potential paths to victory are firming up. Or are they? We looked at previous election cycles to see how often September's popular poll leader became the next President 1: .

How it's made:

  1. An NA value means the data was rounded off, resulting in no leader for that particular instance.

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